Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 6.482238 7.161544 7.941066 8.916748 10.128028 11.615744 13.639178
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 5.899555 6.815164 7.960094 9.552416 11.814889 15.119731 20.835527
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 5.609264 6.744723 8.283311 10.665852 14.615034 21.887120 40.910174
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 5.028809 6.195553 7.858167 10.626038 15.773871 27.405071 78.804395
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 4.756779 6.027224 7.949173 11.456116 19.126607 43.860941 1910.345055
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 4.468631 5.791996 7.896071 12.061877 22.789684 79.533994 NaN
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 4.098288 5.382328 7.484924 11.865322 24.498061 135.450401 NaN
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 3.750496 4.968164 7.001420 11.387908 25.142595 239.722234 NaN
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 3.677258 4.984036 7.284925 12.769965 35.390256 NaN NaN
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 3.719676 5.198336 8.000239 15.778919 72.968396 NaN NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 3.635306 5.181780 8.259459 17.823520 160.540898 NaN NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 3.499450 5.054540 8.255191 19.066771 473.757876 NaN NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 3.282179 4.780162 7.929985 19.183518 5765.199193 NaN NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 3.098566 4.550572 7.671131 19.507662 NaN NaN NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.989472 4.452701 7.717707 21.540800 NaN NaN NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.779771 4.135866 7.152990 19.813493 NaN NaN NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.673260 4.014840 7.076400 20.985683 NaN NaN NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 2.560773 3.870527 6.912270 21.554600 NaN NaN NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 2.414942 3.646282 6.497666 20.090747 NaN NaN NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 2.272777 3.420670 6.055573 18.256090 NaN NaN NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 2.240772 3.417408 6.219073 20.935708 NaN NaN NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 2.257184 3.516456 6.702527 28.004551 NaN NaN NaN
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 2.221610 3.500766 6.847507 33.004446 NaN NaN NaN